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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Fredrikstad vs Brann 100,000 times. Fredrikstad won 39,126 of them (39.1%), the draw came up 24.9% of the time and Brann won 36%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.9%, while the likeliest Fredrikstad win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 65.8% of simulations.
| Fredrikstad win | 39.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.9% |
| Brann win | 36% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.70 – 1.62 |
| Both teams to score | 65.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.2% |
| Fredrikstad score first | 52.7% |
| Brann score first | 42.5% |
| Fredrikstad clean sheet | 20.2% |
| Brann clean sheet | 18.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420527795 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Fredrikstad are favourites. They win 39.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.9% for the draw and 36% for Brann. Including the draw, Fredrikstad avoid defeat 64% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Fredrikstad win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.8% of simulations. Fredrikstad keep a clean sheet 20.2% of the time and Brann 18.8%.
The simulations average 3.32 goals: 1.70 for Fredrikstad and 1.62 for Brann. Over 1.5 goals lands 85% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64% and over 3.5 goals 42.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
