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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated HamKam vs Sarpsborg 08 100,000 times. Sarpsborg 08 won 43,831 of them (43.8%), the draw came up 24% of the time and HamKam won 32.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win is 1-2 (8.7%). Both teams score in 65.6% of simulations.
| HamKam win | 32.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| Sarpsborg 08 win | 43.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.53 – 1.81 |
| Both teams to score | 65.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.8% |
| HamKam score first | 42% |
| Sarpsborg 08 score first | 53.5% |
| HamKam clean sheet | 16.8% |
| Sarpsborg 08 clean sheet | 22.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420527798 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sarpsborg 08 are favourites. They win 43.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 32.2% for HamKam. Including the draw, Sarpsborg 08 avoid defeat 67.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.7%) and 2-1 (7.4%). The likeliest Sarpsborg 08 win is 1-2 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.6% of simulations. HamKam keep a clean sheet 16.8% of the time and Sarpsborg 08 22.1%.
The simulations average 3.34 goals: 1.53 for HamKam and 1.81 for Sarpsborg 08. Over 1.5 goals lands 85% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.5% and over 3.5 goals 42.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
