We simulated GAIS vs Sirius 100,000 times. GAIS won 42,784 of them (42.8%), the draw came up 26.7% of the time and Sirius won 30.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest GAIS win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 56.9% of simulations.
| GAIS win | 42.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.7% |
| Sirius win | 30.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.55 – 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | 56.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.2% |
| GAIS score first | 46.6% |
| Sirius score first | 46.2% |
| GAIS clean sheet | 28.5% |
| Sirius clean sheet | 21.8% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543514 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
GAIS are favourites. They win 42.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.7% for the draw and 30.5% for Sirius. Including the draw, GAIS avoid defeat 69.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.4%). The likeliest GAIS win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.9% of simulations. GAIS keep a clean sheet 28.5% of the time and Sirius 21.8%.
The simulations average 2.81 goals: 1.55 for GAIS and 1.27 for Sirius. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.2% and over 3.5 goals 31.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
