We simulated Galatasaray vs FC Barcelona 100,000 times. FC Barcelona won 72,357 of them (72.4%), the draw came up 14% of the time and Galatasaray won 13.7%. The most likely score is 1-2 (7.9%), and both teams score in 67.3% of simulations.
| Galatasaray win | 13.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 14% |
| FC Barcelona win | 72.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (7.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.26 – 3.00 |
| Both teams to score | 67.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 79.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 61.2% |
| Galatasaray score first | 30.9% |
| FC Barcelona score first | 68% |
| Galatasaray clean sheet | 5.3% |
| FC Barcelona clean sheet | 28.7% |
Sabah
Slavia Praha
1.4–1.6
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Lens
Sporting CP
1.6–1.5
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
Manchester United
2.0–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Arsenal
LOSC Lille
2.6–0.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Viking
FC Bayern München
0.9–3.8
xG
84%
Over 2.5
Inter
Club Brugge
2.7–0.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Napoli
1.8–1.3
xG
60%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
PSV
2.2–1.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420673877 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
FC Barcelona are favourites. They win 72.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 14% for the draw and 13.7% for Galatasaray. Including the draw, FC Barcelona avoid defeat 86.4% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 7.9% of simulations. Next are 1-3 (7.8%) and 0-2 (6.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 67.3% of simulations. Galatasaray keep a clean sheet 5.3% of the time and FC Barcelona 28.7%.
The simulations average 4.26 goals: 1.26 for Galatasaray and 3.00 for FC Barcelona. Over 1.5 goals lands 91.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 79.2% and over 3.5 goals 61.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
