We simulated Grêmio vs Internacional 100,000 times. Grêmio won 44,457 of them (44.5%), the draw came up 27.4% of the time and Internacional won 28.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.9%, while the likeliest Grêmio win is 1-0 (10.5%). Both teams score in 51.6% of simulations.
| Grêmio win | 44.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.4% |
| Internacional win | 28.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.9%) |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 1.11 |
| Both teams to score | 51.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.9% |
| Grêmio score first | 55% |
| Internacional score first | 36.7% |
| Grêmio clean sheet | 33.4% |
| Internacional clean sheet | 23.7% |
Bragantino
Mirassol
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Corinthians
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Remo
Grêmio
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Chapecoense
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
1.3–1.4
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Santos
Flamengo
1.1–1.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Atlético Mineiro
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493595 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Grêmio are favourites. They win 44.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.4% for the draw and 28.2% for Internacional. Including the draw, Grêmio avoid defeat 71.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.9% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest Grêmio win is 1-0 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.6% of simulations. Grêmio keep a clean sheet 33.4% of the time and Internacional 23.7%.
The simulations average 2.57 goals: 1.46 for Grêmio and 1.11 for Internacional. Over 1.5 goals lands 73% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.3% and over 3.5 goals 25.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here WilliamHill), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
