We simulated Gwangju vs Ulsan HD 100,000 times. Ulsan HD won 55,411 of them (55.4%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and Gwangju won 20.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.2%, while the likeliest Ulsan HD win is 0-1 (10%). Both teams score in 54% of simulations.
| Gwangju win | 20.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% |
| Ulsan HD win | 55.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.03 – 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | 54% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.2% |
| Gwangju score first | 37.3% |
| Ulsan HD score first | 56.5% |
| Gwangju clean sheet | 16.5% |
| Ulsan HD clean sheet | 36.1% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420514552 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Ulsan HD are favourites. They win 55.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 20.7% for Gwangju. Including the draw, Ulsan HD avoid defeat 79.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.2% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10%) and 1-2 (9.6%). The likeliest Ulsan HD win is 0-1 (10%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54% of simulations. Gwangju keep a clean sheet 16.5% of the time and Ulsan HD 36.1%.
The simulations average 2.86 goals: 1.03 for Gwangju and 1.83 for Ulsan HD. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.2% and over 3.5 goals 32.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
