We simulated HFX Wanderers vs Cavalry 100,000 times. Cavalry won 50,212 of them (50.2%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and HFX Wanderers won 26.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest Cavalry win is 1-2 (9.3%). Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations.
This match has kicked off. These are the numbers from the last simulation before kick-off.
| HFX Wanderers win | 26.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Cavalry win | 50.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.32 – 1.89 |
| Both teams to score | 62.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 39.8% |
| HFX Wanderers score first | 38.6% |
| Cavalry score first | 56.5% |
| HFX Wanderers clean sheet | 15.5% |
| Cavalry clean sheet | 27.2% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543706 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Cavalry are favourites. They win 50.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 26.3% for HFX Wanderers. Including the draw, Cavalry avoid defeat 73.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Cavalry win is 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.1% of simulations. HFX Wanderers keep a clean sheet 15.5% of the time and Cavalry 27.2%.
The simulations average 3.21 goals: 1.32 for HFX Wanderers and 1.89 for Cavalry. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 61.8% and over 3.5 goals 39.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
