We simulated Inter Miami vs New York City 100,000 times. Inter Miami won 62,423 of them (62.4%), the draw came up 19.8% of the time and New York City won 17.8%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.3%), and both teams score in 63% of simulations.
| Inter Miami win | 62.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.8% |
| New York City win | 17.8% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.3%) |
| Expected goals | 2.36 – 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 68.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 47.2% |
| Inter Miami score first | 60.3% |
| New York City score first | 35.8% |
| Inter Miami clean sheet | 30.7% |
| New York City clean sheet | 9.9% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
1.8–1.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510055 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Inter Miami are favourites. They win 62.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.8% for the draw and 17.8% for New York City. Including the draw, Inter Miami avoid defeat 82.3% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63% of simulations. Inter Miami keep a clean sheet 30.7% of the time and New York City 9.9%.
The simulations average 3.55 goals: 2.36 for Inter Miami and 1.19 for New York City. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 68.4% and over 3.5 goals 47.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
