We simulated Internacional vs Botafogo 100,000 times. Internacional won 49,487 of them (49.5%), the draw came up 26.1% of the time and Botafogo won 24.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest Internacional win is 1-0 (10.4%). Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations.
| Internacional win | 49.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.1% |
| Botafogo win | 24.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.62 – 1.07 |
| Both teams to score | 52.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.3% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.4% |
| Internacional score first | 56.7% |
| Botafogo score first | 35.5% |
| Internacional clean sheet | 34.7% |
| Botafogo clean sheet | 20.2% |
Cruzeiro
Remo
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Mirassol
São Paulo
1.6–1.1
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Athletico PR
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Palmeiras
Bragantino
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Vasco da Gama
Corinthians
1.9–0.8
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Chapecoense
Fluminense
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Santos
Bahia
1.9–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Coritiba
Grêmio
1.6–1.1
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493777 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Internacional are favourites. They win 49.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.1% for the draw and 24.5% for Botafogo. Including the draw, Internacional avoid defeat 75.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest Internacional win is 1-0 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations. Internacional keep a clean sheet 34.7% of the time and Botafogo 20.2%.
The simulations average 2.69 goals: 1.62 for Internacional and 1.07 for Botafogo. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.3% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.2% and over 3.5 goals 28.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
