We simulated LA Galaxy vs Portland Timbers 100,000 times. LA Galaxy won 48,169 of them (48.2%), the draw came up 24.2% of the time and Portland Timbers won 27.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.6%, while the likeliest LA Galaxy win is 2-1 (9%). Both teams score in 66.1% of simulations.
| LA Galaxy win | 48.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.2% |
| Portland Timbers win | 27.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.95 – 1.44 |
| Both teams to score | 66.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.9% |
| LA Galaxy score first | 57.6% |
| Portland Timbers score first | 37.8% |
| LA Galaxy clean sheet | 24% |
| Portland Timbers clean sheet | 14.7% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510206 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
LA Galaxy are favourites. They win 48.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.2% for the draw and 27.6% for Portland Timbers. Including the draw, LA Galaxy avoid defeat 72.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.6% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9%) and 1-2 (6.7%). The likeliest LA Galaxy win is 2-1 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.1% of simulations. LA Galaxy keep a clean sheet 24% of the time and Portland Timbers 14.7%.
The simulations average 3.39 goals: 1.95 for LA Galaxy and 1.44 for Portland Timbers. Over 1.5 goals lands 86.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.6% and over 3.5 goals 43.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
