We simulated Lens vs Sporting CP 100,000 times. Lens won 37,866 of them (37.9%), the draw came up 25.4% of the time and Sporting CP won 36.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.5%, while the likeliest Lens win is 2-1 (8.3%). Both teams score in 62.2% of simulations.
| Lens win | 37.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25.4% |
| Sporting CP win | 36.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.56 – 1.53 |
| Both teams to score | 62.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.4% |
| Lens score first | 48.9% |
| Sporting CP score first | 45.7% |
| Lens clean sheet | 22% |
| Sporting CP clean sheet | 21.4% |
Sabah
Slavia Praha
1.4–1.7
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Galatasaray
FC Barcelona
1.3–3.0
xG
79%
Over 2.5
Atlético de Madrid
Manchester United
2.0–1.3
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Arsenal
LOSC Lille
2.6–0.7
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Viking
FC Bayern München
0.9–3.7
xG
83%
Over 2.5
Inter
Club Brugge
2.7–0.9
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Villarreal
Napoli
1.8–1.3
xG
60%
Over 2.5
RB Leipzig
PSV
2.2–1.5
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684488 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Lens are favourites. They win 37.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25.4% for the draw and 36.8% for Sporting CP. Including the draw, Lens avoid defeat 63.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.3%) and 1-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Lens win is 2-1 (8.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.2% of simulations. Lens keep a clean sheet 22% of the time and Sporting CP 21.4%.
The simulations average 3.10 goals: 1.56 for Lens and 1.53 for Sporting CP. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.5% and over 3.5 goals 37.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
