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We simulated Louisville City vs Miami FC 100,000 times. Louisville City won 65,250 of them (65.3%), the draw came up 20.2% of the time and Miami FC won 14.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9.9%), and both teams score in 56.1% of simulations.
| Louisville City win | 65.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.2% |
| Miami FC win | 14.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.27 – 0.98 |
| Both teams to score | 56.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40.8% |
| Louisville City score first | 65.6% |
| Miami FC score first | 29.3% |
| Louisville City clean sheet | 37.9% |
| Miami FC clean sheet | 10.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420742952 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Louisville City are favourites. They win 65.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.2% for the draw and 14.6% for Miami FC. Including the draw, Louisville City avoid defeat 85.4% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.5%) and 1-1 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56.1% of simulations. Louisville City keep a clean sheet 37.9% of the time and Miami FC 10.9%.
The simulations average 3.25 goals: 2.27 for Louisville City and 0.98 for Miami FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.6% and over 3.5 goals 40.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betano), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.