We simulated Malmö FF vs Kalmar 100,000 times. Malmö FF won 56,993 of them (57%), the draw came up 23.6% of the time and Kalmar won 19.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest Malmö FF win is 2-1 (9.7%). Both teams score in 55.9% of simulations.
| Malmö FF win | 57% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.6% |
| Kalmar win | 19.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.94 – 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 55.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.1% |
| Malmö FF score first | 57.9% |
| Kalmar score first | 35.9% |
| Malmö FF clean sheet | 35.4% |
| Kalmar clean sheet | 14.9% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543556 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Malmö FF are favourites. They win 57% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.6% for the draw and 19.4% for Kalmar. Including the draw, Malmö FF avoid defeat 80.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (9.4%). The likeliest Malmö FF win is 2-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 55.9% of simulations. Malmö FF keep a clean sheet 35.4% of the time and Kalmar 14.9%.
The simulations average 2.99 goals: 1.94 for Malmö FF and 1.05 for Kalmar. Over 1.5 goals lands 80.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 57.2% and over 3.5 goals 35.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here WilliamHill), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
