We simulated Mirassol vs Internacional 100,000 times. Mirassol won 45,979 of them (46%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and Internacional won 26.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Mirassol win is 1-0 (9.4%). Both teams score in 54.4% of simulations.
| Mirassol win | 46% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.1% |
| Internacional win | 26.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.56 – 1.14 |
| Both teams to score | 54.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 28.8% |
| Mirassol score first | 55.3% |
| Internacional score first | 36.4% |
| Mirassol clean sheet | 32.3% |
| Internacional clean sheet | 21.3% |
Chapecoense
Athletico PR
1.2–1.6
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Bragantino
Cruzeiro
1.8–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Chapecoense
2.1–0.9
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Atlético Mineiro
Coritiba
2.3–0.9
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Palmeiras
1.3–1.3
xG
48%
Over 2.5
São Paulo
Vasco da Gama
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Grêmio
Cruzeiro
1.4–1.4
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Fluminense
Santos
1.7–1.1
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493591 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mirassol are favourites. They win 46% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 26.9% for Internacional. Including the draw, Mirassol avoid defeat 73.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest Mirassol win is 1-0 (9.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.4% of simulations. Mirassol keep a clean sheet 32.3% of the time and Internacional 21.3%.
The simulations average 2.71 goals: 1.56 for Mirassol and 1.14 for Internacional. Over 1.5 goals lands 76% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.6% and over 3.5 goals 28.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
