We simulated Mirassol vs São Paulo 100,000 times. Mirassol won 47,940 of them (47.9%), the draw came up 27.1% of the time and São Paulo won 25%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Mirassol win is 1-0 (10.1%). Both teams score in 52.9% of simulations.
| Mirassol win | 47.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.1% |
| São Paulo win | 25% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.58 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 52.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.8% |
| Mirassol score first | 53.8% |
| São Paulo score first | 37.9% |
| Mirassol clean sheet | 34.4% |
| São Paulo clean sheet | 21% |
Cruzeiro
Remo
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Athletico PR
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Botafogo
1.6–1.1
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Palmeiras
Bragantino
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Vasco da Gama
Corinthians
1.9–0.8
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Chapecoense
Fluminense
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Santos
Bahia
1.9–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Coritiba
Grêmio
1.6–1.1
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493581 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mirassol are favourites. They win 47.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.1% for the draw and 25% for São Paulo. Including the draw, Mirassol avoid defeat 75% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest Mirassol win is 1-0 (10.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.9% of simulations. Mirassol keep a clean sheet 34.4% of the time and São Paulo 21%.
The simulations average 2.66 goals: 1.58 for Mirassol and 1.08 for São Paulo. Over 1.5 goals lands 75.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.4% and over 3.5 goals 27.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
