We simulated Mjällby vs Degerfors 100,000 times. Mjällby won 45,812 of them (45.8%), the draw came up 26.9% of the time and Degerfors won 27.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.7%, while the likeliest Mjällby win is 1-0 (9.5%). Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations.
| Mjällby win | 45.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.9% |
| Degerfors win | 27.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.56 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 54.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 29.1% |
| Mjällby score first | 53.5% |
| Degerfors score first | 38.6% |
| Mjällby clean sheet | 31.9% |
| Degerfors clean sheet | 21.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420543417 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Mjällby are favourites. They win 45.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.9% for the draw and 27.3% for Degerfors. Including the draw, Mjällby avoid defeat 72.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.5%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest Mjällby win is 1-0 (9.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 54.5% of simulations. Mjällby keep a clean sheet 31.9% of the time and Degerfors 21.4%.
The simulations average 2.72 goals: 1.56 for Mjällby and 1.15 for Degerfors. Over 1.5 goals lands 76% of the time, over 2.5 goals 50.9% and over 3.5 goals 29.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
