We simulated Nacional Asunción vs Deportivo Recoleta 100,000 times. Nacional Asunción won 57,580 of them (57.6%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Deportivo Recoleta won 18.6%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.1%), and both teams score in 48.9% of simulations.
Full time 1-0. Before kick-off the simulations had Nacional Asunción winning 57.6% and gave this exact score 12.1%.
| Nacional Asunción win | 57.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Deportivo Recoleta win | 18.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.77 – 0.89 |
| Both teams to score | 48.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.9% |
| Nacional Asunción score first | 60.3% |
| Deportivo Recoleta score first | 32% |
| Nacional Asunción clean sheet | 41.2% |
| Deportivo Recoleta clean sheet | 17.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420586855 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nacional Asunción are favourites. They win 57.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 18.6% for Deportivo Recoleta. Including the draw, Nacional Asunción avoid defeat 81.4% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.2%) and 2-0 (10.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 48.9% of simulations. Nacional Asunción keep a clean sheet 41.2% of the time and Deportivo Recoleta 17.4%.
The simulations average 2.66 goals: 1.77 for Nacional Asunción and 0.89 for Deportivo Recoleta. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.5% and over 3.5 goals 27.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
