We simulated Nashville SC vs Sporting KC 100,000 times. Nashville SC won 79,545 of them (79.5%), the draw came up 11.9% of the time and Sporting KC won 8.6%. The most likely score is 2-0 (9%), and both teams score in 56% of simulations.
| Nashville SC win | 79.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 11.9% |
| Sporting KC win | 8.6% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (9%) |
| Expected goals | 3.04 – 0.90 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 55.1% |
| Nashville SC score first | 76.7% |
| Sporting KC score first | 21.5% |
| Nashville SC clean sheet | 40.7% |
| Sporting KC clean sheet | 5.1% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
1.8–1.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509952 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nashville SC are favourites. They win 79.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 11.9% for the draw and 8.6% for Sporting KC. Including the draw, Nashville SC avoid defeat 91.5% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 9% of simulations. Next are 3-0 (8.9%) and 2-1 (8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 56% of simulations. Nashville SC keep a clean sheet 40.7% of the time and Sporting KC 5.1%.
The simulations average 3.94 goals: 3.04 for Nashville SC and 0.90 for Sporting KC. Over 1.5 goals lands 89.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 74.7% and over 3.5 goals 55.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
