We simulated New England vs Chicago Fire 100,000 times. New England won 44,188 of them (44.2%), the draw came up 23.9% of the time and Chicago Fire won 31.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.3%, while the likeliest New England win is 2-1 (8.7%). Both teams score in 66.3% of simulations.
| New England win | 44.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.9% |
| Chicago Fire win | 31.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.85 – 1.54 |
| Both teams to score | 66.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 65.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43.8% |
| New England score first | 48.4% |
| Chicago Fire score first | 46.9% |
| New England clean sheet | 21.8% |
| Chicago Fire clean sheet | 16.3% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510193 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
New England are favourites. They win 44.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.9% for the draw and 31.9% for Chicago Fire. Including the draw, New England avoid defeat 68.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.7%) and 1-2 (7.3%). The likeliest New England win is 2-1 (8.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 66.3% of simulations. New England keep a clean sheet 21.8% of the time and Chicago Fire 16.3%.
The simulations average 3.39 goals: 1.85 for New England and 1.54 for Chicago Fire. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 65.4% and over 3.5 goals 43.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
