We simulated New York City vs Los Angeles FC 100,000 times. New York City won 38,669 of them (38.7%), the draw came up 26.3% of the time and Los Angeles FC won 35%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.3%, while the likeliest New York City win is 2-1 (8.4%). Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations.
| New York City win | 38.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.3% |
| Los Angeles FC win | 35% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.48 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 58.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 78.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.6% |
| New York City score first | 51.1% |
| Los Angeles FC score first | 42.2% |
| New York City clean sheet | 25.2% |
| Los Angeles FC clean sheet | 23.2% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.5
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.4
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.9–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510113 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
New York City are favourites. They win 38.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.3% for the draw and 35% for Los Angeles FC. Including the draw, New York City avoid defeat 65% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.4%) and 1-2 (8%). The likeliest New York City win is 2-1 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 58.3% of simulations. New York City keep a clean sheet 25.2% of the time and Los Angeles FC 23.2%.
The simulations average 2.88 goals: 1.48 for New York City and 1.40 for Los Angeles FC. Over 1.5 goals lands 78.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.7% and over 3.5 goals 32.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
