We simulated Newcastle Jets vs Gamba Osaka 100,000 times. Gamba Osaka won 52,149 of them (52.2%), the draw came up 20.9% of the time and Newcastle Jets won 27%. The most likely score is 1-2 (8.8%), and both teams score in 68% of simulations.
| Newcastle Jets win | 27% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.9% |
| Gamba Osaka win | 52.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-2 (8.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 2.14 |
| Both teams to score | 68% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 87.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.2% |
| Newcastle Jets score first | 38.6% |
| Gamba Osaka score first | 58.5% |
| Newcastle Jets clean sheet | 12.2% |
| Gamba Osaka clean sheet | 22.7% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420661130 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Gamba Osaka are favourites. They win 52.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.9% for the draw and 27% for Newcastle Jets. Including the draw, Gamba Osaka avoid defeat 73% of the time.
1-2, which came up in 8.8% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.5%) and 2-2 (6.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 68% of simulations. Newcastle Jets keep a clean sheet 12.2% of the time and Gamba Osaka 22.7%.
The simulations average 3.64 goals: 1.50 for Newcastle Jets and 2.14 for Gamba Osaka. Over 1.5 goals lands 87.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70% and over 3.5 goals 49.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
