We simulated Novorizontino vs Ponte Preta 100,000 times. Novorizontino won 91,956 of them (92%), the draw came up 6% of the time and Ponte Preta won 2%. The most likely score is 3-0 (14.5%), and both teams score in 30.4% of simulations.
| Novorizontino win | 92% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 6% |
| Ponte Preta win | 2% |
| Most likely score | 3-0 (14.5%) |
| Expected goals | 3.47 – 0.38 |
| Both teams to score | 30.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 53.2% |
| Novorizontino score first | 87.6% |
| Ponte Preta score first | 10.1% |
| Novorizontino clean sheet | 68.4% |
| Ponte Preta clean sheet | 3.4% |
Criciúma
América Mineiro
2.1–0.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo SP
Ceará
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Londrina
1.5–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Ponte Preta
Atlético GO
0.6–2.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Sport Recife
Fortaleza
1.4–1.0
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Ceará
Juventude
1.3–1.0
xG
38%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Operário PR
1.0–1.4
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Athletic Club
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534077 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Novorizontino are favourites. They win 92% of our 100,000 simulations, against 6% for the draw and 2% for Ponte Preta. Including the draw, Novorizontino avoid defeat 98% of the time.
3-0, which came up in 14.5% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (12.9%) and 4-0 (12.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 30.4% of simulations. Novorizontino keep a clean sheet 68.4% of the time and Ponte Preta 3.4%.
The simulations average 3.85 goals: 3.47 for Novorizontino and 0.38 for Ponte Preta. Over 1.5 goals lands 89% of the time, over 2.5 goals 73.2% and over 3.5 goals 53.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
