We simulated Olympique Marseille vs Olympiacos F.C. 100,000 times. Olympique Marseille won 38,878 of them (38.9%), the draw came up 26.8% of the time and Olympiacos F.C. won 34.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Olympique Marseille win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations.
| Olympique Marseille win | 38.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.8% |
| Olympiacos F.C. win | 34.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.50 – 1.40 |
| Both teams to score | 59.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 55.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.2% |
| Olympique Marseille score first | 50.2% |
| Olympiacos F.C. score first | 43% |
| Olympique Marseille clean sheet | 25.1% |
| Olympiacos F.C. clean sheet | 22.7% |
Sparta Praha
Lillestrøm
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Real Sociedad
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.3–2.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Celje
Omonia Nicosia
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Salzburg
AC Milan
1.2–1.8
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Crystal Palace
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Torreense
Sunderland
0.9–2.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684639 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Olympique Marseille are favourites. They win 38.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.8% for the draw and 34.3% for Olympiacos F.C.. Including the draw, Olympique Marseille avoid defeat 65.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (7.9%). The likeliest Olympique Marseille win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 59.1% of simulations. Olympique Marseille keep a clean sheet 25.1% of the time and Olympiacos F.C. 22.7%.
The simulations average 2.90 goals: 1.50 for Olympique Marseille and 1.40 for Olympiacos F.C.. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 55.3% and over 3.5 goals 33.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
