We simulated Palmeiras vs Bragantino 100,000 times. Palmeiras won 65,333 of them (65.3%), the draw came up 20.6% of the time and Bragantino won 14.1%. The most likely score is 2-0 (11.5%), and both teams score in 50% of simulations.
| Palmeiras win | 65.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.6% |
| Bragantino win | 14.1% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (11.5%) |
| Expected goals | 2.09 – 0.85 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 79.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 33.9% |
| Palmeiras score first | 68.9% |
| Bragantino score first | 25.2% |
| Palmeiras clean sheet | 43% |
| Bragantino clean sheet | 12.8% |
Cruzeiro
Remo
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Mirassol
São Paulo
1.6–1.1
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Athletico PR
1.5–1.3
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Botafogo
1.6–1.1
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Vasco da Gama
Corinthians
1.9–0.8
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Chapecoense
Fluminense
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Santos
Bahia
1.9–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Coritiba
Grêmio
1.6–1.1
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493584 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Palmeiras are favourites. They win 65.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.6% for the draw and 14.1% for Bragantino. Including the draw, Palmeiras avoid defeat 85.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 11.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.8%) and 1-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 50% of simulations. Palmeiras keep a clean sheet 43% of the time and Bragantino 12.8%.
The simulations average 2.94 goals: 2.09 for Palmeiras and 0.85 for Bragantino. Over 1.5 goals lands 79.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 56% and over 3.5 goals 33.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
