We simulated Palmeiras vs Corinthians 100,000 times. Palmeiras won 65,513 of them (65.5%), the draw came up 22.3% of the time and Corinthians won 12.2%. The most likely score is 2-0 (13.2%), and both teams score in 43.7% of simulations.
| Palmeiras win | 65.5% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.3% |
| Corinthians win | 12.2% |
| Most likely score | 2-0 (13.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.94 – 0.71 |
| Both teams to score | 43.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.6% |
| Palmeiras score first | 69.1% |
| Corinthians score first | 22.5% |
| Palmeiras clean sheet | 49.6% |
| Corinthians clean sheet | 14.8% |
Bragantino
Mirassol
1.8–1.0
xG
54%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Corinthians
1.4–1.0
xG
44%
Over 2.5
Remo
Grêmio
1.5–1.2
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Vitória
Chapecoense
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo
Vasco da Gama
1.3–1.4
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Cruzeiro
São Paulo
1.7–0.9
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Santos
Flamengo
1.1–1.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Athletico PR
Atlético Mineiro
1.6–1.0
xG
47%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493598 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Palmeiras are favourites. They win 65.5% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.3% for the draw and 12.2% for Corinthians. Including the draw, Palmeiras avoid defeat 87.9% of the time.
2-0, which came up in 13.2% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (13%) and 1-1 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 43.7% of simulations. Palmeiras keep a clean sheet 49.6% of the time and Corinthians 14.8%.
The simulations average 2.65 goals: 1.94 for Palmeiras and 0.71 for Corinthians. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.2% and over 3.5 goals 27.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betano), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
