We simulated Philadelphia Union vs Charlotte 100,000 times. Philadelphia Union won 65,933 of them (65.9%), the draw came up 19.1% of the time and Charlotte won 15%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.1%), and both teams score in 63% of simulations.
| Philadelphia Union win | 65.9% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.1% |
| Charlotte win | 15% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.52 – 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 63% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.7% |
| Philadelphia Union score first | 63.5% |
| Charlotte score first | 33.1% |
| Philadelphia Union clean sheet | 32.1% |
| Charlotte clean sheet | 8.5% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509961 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Philadelphia Union are favourites. They win 65.9% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.1% for the draw and 15% for Charlotte. Including the draw, Philadelphia Union avoid defeat 85.1% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (8.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63% of simulations. Philadelphia Union keep a clean sheet 32.1% of the time and Charlotte 8.5%.
The simulations average 3.67 goals: 2.52 for Philadelphia Union and 1.15 for Charlotte. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.4% and over 3.5 goals 49.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
