We simulated Pittsburgh Riverhounds vs Hartford Athletic 100,000 times. Pittsburgh Riverhounds won 46,395 of them (46.4%), the draw came up 28% of the time and Hartford Athletic won 25.6%. The most likely score is 1-0 (15.3%), and both teams score in 41.1% of simulations.
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds win | 46.4% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 28% |
| Hartford Athletic win | 25.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (15.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.28 – 0.87 |
| Both teams to score | 41.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62.7% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.3% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 17.3% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds score first | 56.8% |
| Hartford Athletic score first | 31.4% |
| Pittsburgh Riverhounds clean sheet | 42.3% |
| Hartford Athletic clean sheet | 28.1% |
Lexington
Tulsa Roughnecks
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Sporting JAX
Birmingham Legion
1.6–2.1
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Charleston Battery
Louisville City
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Detroit City
Rhode Island
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Miami FC II
Loudoun United
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Indy Eleven
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.1–1.5
xG
47%
Over 2.5
New Mexico United
Monterey Bay
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
El Paso Locomotive
Orange County
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420520160 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Pittsburgh Riverhounds are favourites. They win 46.4% of our 100,000 simulations, against 28% for the draw and 25.6% for Hartford Athletic. Including the draw, Pittsburgh Riverhounds avoid defeat 74.4% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 15.3% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.4%) and 0-0 (11.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 41.1% of simulations. Pittsburgh Riverhounds keep a clean sheet 42.3% of the time and Hartford Athletic 28.1%.
The simulations average 2.15 goals: 1.28 for Pittsburgh Riverhounds and 0.87 for Hartford Athletic. Over 1.5 goals lands 62.7% of the time, over 2.5 goals 36.3% and over 3.5 goals 17.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
