We simulated Platense vs Argentinos Juniors 100,000 times. Platense won 34,091 of them (34.1%), the draw came up 31.9% of the time and Argentinos Juniors won 34%. No single score is common: 0-0 is the likeliest at 14.2%, while the likeliest Platense win is 1-0 (12.9%). Both teams score in 40.5% of simulations.
| Platense win | 34.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 31.9% |
| Argentinos Juniors win | 34% |
| Most likely score | 0-0 (14.2%) |
| Expected goals | 1.01 – 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 40.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 60.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 14.7% |
| Platense score first | 44.7% |
| Argentinos Juniors score first | 41% |
| Platense clean sheet | 36.9% |
| Argentinos Juniors clean sheet | 36.8% |
Aldosivi
Sarmiento
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Atlético Tucumán
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Boca Juniors
1.2–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Defensa y Justicia
1.5–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Huracán
1.0–0.9
xG
29%
Over 2.5
Central Cordoba SdE
Estudiantes
1.0–1.2
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Banfield
1.7–0.8
xG
43%
Over 2.5
River Plate
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
2.4–0.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490601 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Platense are favourites. They win 34.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 31.9% for the draw and 34% for Argentinos Juniors. Including the draw, Platense avoid defeat 66% of the time.
0-0, which came up in 14.2% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (13.9%) and 1-0 (12.9%). The likeliest Platense win is 1-0 (12.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 40.5% of simulations. Platense keep a clean sheet 36.9% of the time and Argentinos Juniors 36.8%.
The simulations average 2.01 goals: 1.01 for Platense and 1.01 for Argentinos Juniors. Over 1.5 goals lands 60.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 32.7% and over 3.5 goals 14.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
