We simulated Ponte Preta vs Atlético GO 100,000 times. Atlético GO won 71,336 of them (71.3%), the draw came up 19.1% of the time and Ponte Preta won 9.6%. The most likely score is 0-1 (15.5%), and both teams score in 36.8% of simulations.
| Ponte Preta win | 9.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.1% |
| Atlético GO win | 71.3% |
| Most likely score | 0-1 (15.5%) |
| Expected goals | 0.56 – 2.01 |
| Both teams to score | 36.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.2% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.9% |
| Ponte Preta score first | 20.6% |
| Atlético GO score first | 71.5% |
| Ponte Preta clean sheet | 13.9% |
| Atlético GO clean sheet | 57.2% |
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
3.5–0.4
xG
73%
Over 2.5
Criciúma
América Mineiro
2.1–0.6
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Botafogo SP
Ceará
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Athletic Club
Londrina
1.5–1.0
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Sport Recife
Fortaleza
1.4–1.1
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Ceará
Juventude
1.2–1.0
xG
38%
Over 2.5
América Mineiro
Operário PR
1.0–1.4
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Avaí
Athletic Club
1.4–1.0
xG
42%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420534137 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Atlético GO are favourites. They win 71.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.1% for the draw and 9.6% for Ponte Preta. Including the draw, Atlético GO avoid defeat 90.4% of the time.
0-1, which came up in 15.5% of simulations. Next are 0-2 (15.2%) and 0-3 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 36.8% of simulations. Ponte Preta keep a clean sheet 13.9% of the time and Atlético GO 57.2%.
The simulations average 2.57 goals: 0.56 for Ponte Preta and 2.01 for Atlético GO. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.2% and over 3.5 goals 25.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
