We simulated Racing Club vs Belgrano 100,000 times. Racing Club won 39,258 of them (39.3%), the draw came up 30.3% of the time and Belgrano won 30.4%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 14.1%, while the likeliest Racing Club win is 1-0 (11%). Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations.
| Racing Club win | 39.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 30.3% |
| Belgrano win | 30.4% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (14.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.26 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 47.9% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 20.9% |
| Racing Club score first | 51.8% |
| Belgrano score first | 37.1% |
| Racing Club clean sheet | 34.4% |
| Belgrano clean sheet | 28.8% |
Aldosivi
Sarmiento
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Atlético Tucumán
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Boca Juniors
1.2–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Defensa y Justicia
1.5–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Huracán
1.0–0.9
xG
29%
Over 2.5
Central Cordoba SdE
Estudiantes
1.0–1.2
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Banfield
1.7–0.8
xG
43%
Over 2.5
River Plate
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
2.4–0.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490512 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Racing Club are favourites. They win 39.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 30.3% for the draw and 30.4% for Belgrano. Including the draw, Racing Club avoid defeat 69.6% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 14.1% of simulations. Next are 0-0 (11.1%) and 1-0 (11%). The likeliest Racing Club win is 1-0 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.9% of simulations. Racing Club keep a clean sheet 34.4% of the time and Belgrano 28.8%.
The simulations average 2.33 goals: 1.26 for Racing Club and 1.08 for Belgrano. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.2% and over 3.5 goals 20.9%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
