We simulated Rhode Island vs Loudoun United 100,000 times. Rhode Island won 61,563 of them (61.6%), the draw came up 20.7% of the time and Loudoun United won 17.8%. The most likely score is 1-0 (11.4%), and both teams score in 51.1% of simulations.
| Rhode Island win | 61.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 20.7% |
| Loudoun United win | 17.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (11.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.96 – 0.93 |
| Both teams to score | 51.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 32.7% |
| Rhode Island score first | 66.3% |
| Loudoun United score first | 28.3% |
| Rhode Island clean sheet | 39.9% |
| Loudoun United clean sheet | 14.5% |
Hartford Athletic
Charleston Battery
1.5–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Miami FC II
Charleston Battery
1.5–1.6
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Louisville City
Indy Eleven
2.0–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Hartford Athletic
Brooklyn FC
2.7–0.8
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Rhode Island
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.5–0.7
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City
1.5–0.9
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Tulsa Roughnecks
Oakland Roots
1.5–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
San Antonio
New Mexico United
1.5–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420496507 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rhode Island are favourites. They win 61.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 20.7% for the draw and 17.8% for Loudoun United. Including the draw, Rhode Island avoid defeat 82.3% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 11.4% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (10.6%) and 1-1 (9.7%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.1% of simulations. Rhode Island keep a clean sheet 39.9% of the time and Loudoun United 14.5%.
The simulations average 2.88 goals: 1.96 for Rhode Island and 0.93 for Loudoun United. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 54.8% and over 3.5 goals 32.7%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
