We simulated Rosario Central vs Independiente Rivadavia 100,000 times. Rosario Central won 51,034 of them (51%), the draw came up 27.9% of the time and Independiente Rivadavia won 21.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (13.4%), and both teams score in 45.1% of simulations.
| Rosario Central win | 51% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.9% |
| Independiente Rivadavia win | 21.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (13.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.49 – 0.86 |
| Both teams to score | 45.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 41.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 21.3% |
| Rosario Central score first | 56.5% |
| Independiente Rivadavia score first | 33% |
| Rosario Central clean sheet | 42.5% |
| Independiente Rivadavia clean sheet | 22.9% |
Aldosivi
Sarmiento
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Gimnasia La Plata
Atlético Tucumán
1.6–0.9
xG
45%
Over 2.5
Instituto
Boca Juniors
1.2–1.1
xG
41%
Over 2.5
Unión Santa Fe
Defensa y Justicia
1.5–1.1
xG
46%
Over 2.5
Barracas Central
Huracán
1.0–0.9
xG
29%
Over 2.5
Central Cordoba SdE
Estudiantes
1.0–1.2
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Tigre
Banfield
1.7–0.8
xG
43%
Over 2.5
River Plate
Estudiantes de Río Cuarto
2.4–0.4
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420490409 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Rosario Central are favourites. They win 51% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.9% for the draw and 21.1% for Independiente Rivadavia. Including the draw, Rosario Central avoid defeat 78.9% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 13.4% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (12.8%) and 0-0 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 45.1% of simulations. Rosario Central keep a clean sheet 42.5% of the time and Independiente Rivadavia 22.9%.
The simulations average 2.35 goals: 1.49 for Rosario Central and 0.86 for Independiente Rivadavia. Over 1.5 goals lands 68.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 41.7% and over 3.5 goals 21.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
