We simulated Sacramento Republic vs Colorado Springs 100,000 times. Sacramento Republic won 54,786 of them (54.8%), the draw came up 25% of the time and Colorado Springs won 20.2%. The most likely score is 1-0 (12.7%), and both teams score in 47.5% of simulations.
| Sacramento Republic win | 54.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 25% |
| Colorado Springs win | 20.2% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (12.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.65 – 0.89 |
| Both teams to score | 47.5% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 46.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 25.4% |
| Sacramento Republic score first | 59.3% |
| Colorado Springs score first | 32.4% |
| Sacramento Republic clean sheet | 41.3% |
| Colorado Springs clean sheet | 19.7% |
Lexington
Tulsa Roughnecks
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Sporting JAX
Birmingham Legion
1.6–2.1
xG
71%
Over 2.5
Charleston Battery
Louisville City
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Detroit City
Rhode Island
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Hartford Athletic
1.3–0.9
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Miami FC II
Loudoun United
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Indy Eleven
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.1–1.5
xG
47%
Over 2.5
New Mexico United
Monterey Bay
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420520156 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sacramento Republic are favourites. They win 54.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 25% for the draw and 20.2% for Colorado Springs. Including the draw, Sacramento Republic avoid defeat 79.8% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 12.7% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (11.7%) and 2-0 (10.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 47.5% of simulations. Sacramento Republic keep a clean sheet 41.3% of the time and Colorado Springs 19.7%.
The simulations average 2.55 goals: 1.65 for Sacramento Republic and 0.89 for Colorado Springs. Over 1.5 goals lands 72.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 46.6% and over 3.5 goals 25.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here 1xBet), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
