We simulated San Antonio vs New Mexico United 100,000 times. San Antonio won 43,767 of them (43.8%), the draw came up 26.4% of the time and New Mexico United won 29.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.4%, while the likeliest San Antonio win is 1-0 (10.5%). Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations.
| San Antonio win | 43.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.4% |
| New Mexico United win | 29.8% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.46 – 1.16 |
| Both teams to score | 52.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48.4% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.8% |
| San Antonio score first | 52.6% |
| New Mexico United score first | 39.7% |
| San Antonio clean sheet | 31.8% |
| New Mexico United clean sheet | 23.7% |
Hartford Athletic
Charleston Battery
1.5–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Rhode Island
Loudoun United
2.0–0.9
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Miami FC II
Charleston Battery
1.5–1.6
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Louisville City
Indy Eleven
2.0–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Hartford Athletic
Brooklyn FC
2.7–0.8
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Rhode Island
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.5–0.7
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City
1.5–0.9
xG
43%
Over 2.5
Tulsa Roughnecks
Oakland Roots
1.5–1.1
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420520072 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
San Antonio are favourites. They win 43.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.4% for the draw and 29.8% for New Mexico United. Including the draw, San Antonio avoid defeat 70.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.4% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest San Antonio win is 1-0 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.3% of simulations. San Antonio keep a clean sheet 31.8% of the time and New Mexico United 23.7%.
The simulations average 2.61 goals: 1.46 for San Antonio and 1.16 for New Mexico United. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 48.4% and over 3.5 goals 26.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
