We simulated San Diego vs Houston Dynamo 100,000 times. San Diego won 47,214 of them (47.2%), the draw came up 24.5% of the time and Houston Dynamo won 28.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11%, while the likeliest San Diego win is 2-1 (9.1%). Both teams score in 63.2% of simulations.
| San Diego win | 47.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.5% |
| Houston Dynamo win | 28.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11%) |
| Expected goals | 1.83 – 1.38 |
| Both teams to score | 63.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| San Diego score first | 54.2% |
| Houston Dynamo score first | 40.7% |
| San Diego clean sheet | 25.5% |
| Houston Dynamo clean sheet | 16.4% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420509971 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
San Diego are favourites. They win 47.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.5% for the draw and 28.3% for Houston Dynamo. Including the draw, San Diego avoid defeat 71.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (9.1%) and 1-2 (6.9%). The likeliest San Diego win is 2-1 (9.1%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.2% of simulations. San Diego keep a clean sheet 25.5% of the time and Houston Dynamo 16.4%.
The simulations average 3.21 goals: 1.83 for San Diego and 1.38 for Houston Dynamo. Over 1.5 goals lands 83.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62% and over 3.5 goals 40%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
