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For this page
How to Read Match Simulations Match simulations plays every upcoming game 100,000 times and counts what happened: results, goals, scorelines, corners, cards and where the simulated chance beats the price.No guide matches yet. Press enter to search the full text.
We simulated Santos vs Palmeiras 100,000 times. Palmeiras won 47,063 of them (47.1%), the draw came up 26.6% of the time and Santos won 26.3%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.6%, while the likeliest Palmeiras win is 0-1 (10.2%). Both teams score in 53% of simulations.
Full time 0-0. Before kick-off the simulations had the draw at 26.6% and gave this exact score 7.9%.
| Santos win | 26.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.6% |
| Palmeiras win | 47.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.6%) |
| Expected goals | 1.10 – 1.56 |
| Both teams to score | 53% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 27.8% |
| Santos score first | 34.9% |
| Palmeiras score first | 57.2% |
| Santos clean sheet | 21.4% |
| Palmeiras clean sheet | 33.5% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493580 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Palmeiras are favourites. They win 47.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.6% for the draw and 26.3% for Santos. Including the draw, Palmeiras avoid defeat 73.7% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.6% of simulations. Next are 0-1 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.2%). The likeliest Palmeiras win is 0-1 (10.2%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 53% of simulations. Santos keep a clean sheet 21.4% of the time and Palmeiras 33.5%.
The simulations average 2.66 goals: 1.10 for Santos and 1.56 for Palmeiras. Over 1.5 goals lands 74.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 49.6% and over 3.5 goals 27.8%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
