We simulated Seoul vs Gimcheon Sangmu 100,000 times. Seoul won 56,610 of them (56.6%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Gimcheon Sangmu won 19.9%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 11.1%, while the likeliest Seoul win is 1-0 (10.5%). Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations.
| Seoul win | 56.6% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Gimcheon Sangmu win | 19.9% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (11.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.84 – 0.99 |
| Both teams to score | 52.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.4% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.5% |
| Seoul score first | 60.8% |
| Gimcheon Sangmu score first | 32.7% |
| Seoul clean sheet | 37.5% |
| Gimcheon Sangmu clean sheet | 16.4% |
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420514631 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Seoul are favourites. They win 56.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 19.9% for Gimcheon Sangmu. Including the draw, Seoul avoid defeat 80.1% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 11.1% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (10.5%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest Seoul win is 1-0 (10.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 52.8% of simulations. Seoul keep a clean sheet 37.5% of the time and Gimcheon Sangmu 16.4%.
The simulations average 2.83 goals: 1.84 for Seoul and 0.99 for Gimcheon Sangmu. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.4% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.5% and over 3.5 goals 31.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
