We simulated SJ Earthquakes vs Nashville SC 100,000 times. Nashville SC won 44,602 of them (44.6%), the draw came up 26.4% of the time and SJ Earthquakes won 29%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.1%, while the likeliest Nashville SC win is 1-2 (9%). Both teams score in 61.4% of simulations.
| SJ Earthquakes win | 29% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.4% |
| Nashville SC win | 44.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.35 – 1.71 |
| Both teams to score | 61.4% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 36.6% |
| SJ Earthquakes score first | 43.5% |
| Nashville SC score first | 50.1% |
| SJ Earthquakes clean sheet | 18.5% |
| Nashville SC clean sheet | 26.4% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510223 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Nashville SC are favourites. They win 44.6% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.4% for the draw and 29% for SJ Earthquakes. Including the draw, Nashville SC avoid defeat 71% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9%) and 2-1 (7.2%). The likeliest Nashville SC win is 1-2 (9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 61.4% of simulations. SJ Earthquakes keep a clean sheet 18.5% of the time and Nashville SC 26.4%.
The simulations average 3.06 goals: 1.35 for SJ Earthquakes and 1.71 for Nashville SC. Over 1.5 goals lands 82% of the time, over 2.5 goals 58.7% and over 3.5 goals 36.6%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Bet365), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
