We simulated Sligo Rovers vs Dundalk 100,000 times. Dundalk won 51,339 of them (51.3%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Sligo Rovers won 25.2%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.5%, while the likeliest Dundalk win is 1-2 (9.3%). Both teams score in 62.8% of simulations.
| Sligo Rovers win | 25.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Dundalk win | 51.3% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.31 – 1.95 |
| Both teams to score | 62.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 62.9% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41% |
| Sligo Rovers score first | 38% |
| Dundalk score first | 57.3% |
| Sligo Rovers clean sheet | 14.7% |
| Dundalk clean sheet | 27.3% |
St Patrick's
Shelbourne
1.9–0.9
xG
53%
Over 2.5
Bohemians
Waterford United
2.3–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1.1–1.7
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Drogheda United
Derry City
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Derry City
St Patrick's
1.3–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Waterford United
Galway United
1.7–1.2
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420498396 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Dundalk are favourites. They win 51.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 25.2% for Sligo Rovers. Including the draw, Dundalk avoid defeat 74.8% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.5% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (9.3%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Dundalk win is 1-2 (9.3%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 62.8% of simulations. Sligo Rovers keep a clean sheet 14.7% of the time and Dundalk 27.3%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 1.31 for Sligo Rovers and 1.95 for Dundalk. Over 1.5 goals lands 84% of the time, over 2.5 goals 62.9% and over 3.5 goals 41%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
