We simulated Sporting JAX vs Birmingham Legion 100,000 times. Birmingham Legion won 46,693 of them (46.7%), the draw came up 22.5% of the time and Sporting JAX won 30.8%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.1%, while the likeliest Birmingham Legion win is 1-2 (8.4%). Both teams score in 70.2% of simulations.
| Sporting JAX win | 30.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.5% |
| Birmingham Legion win | 46.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 1.64 – 2.05 |
| Both teams to score | 70.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.6% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.8% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 50.1% |
| Sporting JAX score first | 42.6% |
| Birmingham Legion score first | 54.1% |
| Sporting JAX clean sheet | 13.4% |
| Birmingham Legion clean sheet | 19.8% |
Lexington
Tulsa Roughnecks
2.0–1.0
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Charleston Battery
Louisville City
1.8–1.3
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Detroit City
Rhode Island
1.3–1.0
xG
40%
Over 2.5
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
Hartford Athletic
1.3–0.9
xG
36%
Over 2.5
Miami FC II
Loudoun United
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Indy Eleven
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1.1–1.5
xG
47%
Over 2.5
New Mexico United
Monterey Bay
2.2–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
El Paso Locomotive
Orange County
2.1–1.0
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420520075 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Birmingham Legion are favourites. They win 46.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.5% for the draw and 30.8% for Sporting JAX. Including the draw, Birmingham Legion avoid defeat 69.2% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 1-2 (8.4%) and 2-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Birmingham Legion win is 1-2 (8.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 70.2% of simulations. Sporting JAX keep a clean sheet 13.4% of the time and Birmingham Legion 19.8%.
The simulations average 3.69 goals: 1.64 for Sporting JAX and 2.05 for Birmingham Legion. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.6% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.8% and over 3.5 goals 50.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
