We simulated Sporting KC vs Portland Timbers 100,000 times. Sporting KC won 45,112 of them (45.1%), the draw came up 24.3% of the time and Portland Timbers won 30.6%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.8%, while the likeliest Sporting KC win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 64.2% of simulations.
| Sporting KC win | 45.1% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24.3% |
| Portland Timbers win | 30.6% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.81 – 1.46 |
| Both teams to score | 64.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 41.1% |
| Sporting KC score first | 56.5% |
| Portland Timbers score first | 38.6% |
| Sporting KC clean sheet | 23.7% |
| Portland Timbers clean sheet | 16.9% |
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Toronto
CF Montréal
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
New York City
1.8–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
DC United
2.4–1.2
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake
2.6–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
Dallas
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
New York RB
San Diego
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
New England
Seattle Sounders
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510196 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Sporting KC are favourites. They win 45.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24.3% for the draw and 30.6% for Portland Timbers. Including the draw, Sporting KC avoid defeat 69.4% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Sporting KC win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.2% of simulations. Sporting KC keep a clean sheet 23.7% of the time and Portland Timbers 16.9%.
The simulations average 3.26 goals: 1.81 for Sporting KC and 1.46 for Portland Timbers. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 63% and over 3.5 goals 41.1%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
