We simulated St. Louis City vs LA Galaxy 100,000 times. St. Louis City won 64,032 of them (64%), the draw came up 19.3% of the time and LA Galaxy won 16.7%. The most likely score is 2-1 (9.1%), and both teams score in 63.7% of simulations.
| St. Louis City win | 64% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 19.3% |
| LA Galaxy win | 16.7% |
| Most likely score | 2-1 (9.1%) |
| Expected goals | 2.46 – 1.20 |
| Both teams to score | 63.7% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.4% |
| St. Louis City score first | 65.6% |
| LA Galaxy score first | 31% |
| St. Louis City clean sheet | 30.7% |
| LA Galaxy clean sheet | 9.1% |
Chicago Fire
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.6–1.7
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Toronto
CF Montréal
2.0–1.3
xG
64%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
New York City
1.8–1.1
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
DC United
2.4–1.2
xG
69%
Over 2.5
Philadelphia Union
Real Salt Lake
2.6–1.0
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Charlotte
Dallas
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
New York RB
San Diego
1.7–1.6
xG
64%
Over 2.5
New England
Seattle Sounders
2.0–1.2
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510100 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
St. Louis City are favourites. They win 64% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.3% for the draw and 16.7% for LA Galaxy. Including the draw, St. Louis City avoid defeat 83.3% of the time.
2-1, which came up in 9.1% of simulations. Next are 1-1 (8.2%) and 2-0 (7.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 63.7% of simulations. St. Louis City keep a clean sheet 30.7% of the time and LA Galaxy 9.1%.
The simulations average 3.66 goals: 2.46 for St. Louis City and 1.20 for LA Galaxy. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.1% and over 3.5 goals 49.4%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here WilliamHill), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
