We simulated St. Louis City vs Vancouver Whitecaps 100,000 times. St. Louis City won 45,161 of them (45.2%), the draw came up 23.8% of the time and Vancouver Whitecaps won 31.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.4%, while the likeliest St. Louis City win is 2-1 (8.8%). Both teams score in 65.6% of simulations.
| St. Louis City win | 45.2% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.8% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps win | 31.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.4%) |
| Expected goals | 1.85 – 1.50 |
| Both teams to score | 65.6% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 85.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.7% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 43% |
| St. Louis City score first | 53.9% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps score first | 41.5% |
| St. Louis City clean sheet | 22.6% |
| Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet | 16.2% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Toronto
Orlando City
2.0–1.6
xG
70%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
1.8–1.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510042 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
St. Louis City are favourites. They win 45.2% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.8% for the draw and 31.1% for Vancouver Whitecaps. Including the draw, St. Louis City avoid defeat 68.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.4% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.8%) and 1-2 (7.2%). The likeliest St. Louis City win is 2-1 (8.8%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 65.6% of simulations. St. Louis City keep a clean sheet 22.6% of the time and Vancouver Whitecaps 16.2%.
The simulations average 3.35 goals: 1.85 for St. Louis City and 1.50 for Vancouver Whitecaps. Over 1.5 goals lands 85.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.7% and over 3.5 goals 43%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
