We simulated St Patrick's vs Shelbourne 100,000 times. St Patrick's won 61,785 of them (61.8%), the draw came up 22.1% of the time and Shelbourne won 16.1%. The most likely score is 1-0 (11.7%), and both teams score in 49.1% of simulations.
| St Patrick's win | 61.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 22.1% |
| Shelbourne win | 16.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-0 (11.7%) |
| Expected goals | 1.92 – 0.86 |
| Both teams to score | 49.1% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52.5% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 30.5% |
| St Patrick's score first | 65.7% |
| Shelbourne score first | 27.7% |
| St Patrick's clean sheet | 42.5% |
| Shelbourne clean sheet | 15% |
Bohemians
Waterford United
2.3–1.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Galway United
Shamrock Rovers
1.1–1.7
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Drogheda United
Derry City
1.2–1.4
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Sligo Rovers
Dundalk
1.3–2.0
xG
63%
Over 2.5
Derry City
St Patrick's
1.3–1.3
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Waterford United
Galway United
1.7–1.2
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420498389 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
St Patrick's are favourites. They win 61.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 22.1% for the draw and 16.1% for Shelbourne. Including the draw, St Patrick's avoid defeat 83.9% of the time.
1-0, which came up in 11.7% of simulations. Next are 2-0 (11.3%) and 1-1 (10.4%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 49.1% of simulations. St Patrick's keep a clean sheet 42.5% of the time and Shelbourne 15%.
The simulations average 2.78 goals: 1.92 for St Patrick's and 0.86 for Shelbourne. Over 1.5 goals lands 76.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 52.5% and over 3.5 goals 30.5%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
