We simulated Toronto vs Orlando City 100,000 times. Toronto won 45,841 of them (45.8%), the draw came up 24% of the time and Orlando City won 30.1%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 9.9%, while the likeliest Toronto win is 2-1 (8.5%). Both teams score in 70.3% of simulations.
| Toronto win | 45.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 24% |
| Orlando City win | 30.1% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (9.9%) |
| Expected goals | 2.02 – 1.62 |
| Both teams to score | 70.3% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88.8% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 70.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 49.2% |
| Toronto score first | 52.5% |
| Orlando City score first | 43.3% |
| Toronto clean sheet | 20.2% |
| Orlando City clean sheet | 13.7% |
CF Montréal
Atlanta United
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Cincinnati
New England
2.2–1.4
xG
70%
Over 2.5
DC United
New York RB
1.8–1.3
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Columbus Crew
Charlotte
1.9–1.3
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Inter Miami
New York City
2.4–1.2
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Nashville SC
Sporting KC
3.0–0.9
xG
75%
Over 2.5
St. Louis City
Vancouver Whitecaps
1.8–1.5
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Chicago Fire
Philadelphia Union
1.8–1.7
xG
68%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420510105 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Toronto are favourites. They win 45.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 24% for the draw and 30.1% for Orlando City. Including the draw, Toronto avoid defeat 69.9% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 9.9% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.5%) and 1-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Toronto win is 2-1 (8.5%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 70.3% of simulations. Toronto keep a clean sheet 20.2% of the time and Orlando City 13.7%.
The simulations average 3.64 goals: 2.02 for Toronto and 1.62 for Orlando City. Over 1.5 goals lands 88.8% of the time, over 2.5 goals 70.1% and over 3.5 goals 49.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
