We simulated TSG Hoffenheim vs Beşiktaş 100,000 times. TSG Hoffenheim won 45,766 of them (45.8%), the draw came up 23.5% of the time and Beşiktaş won 30.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 10.3%, while the likeliest TSG Hoffenheim win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 64.8% of simulations.
| TSG Hoffenheim win | 45.8% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 23.5% |
| Beşiktaş win | 30.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (10.3%) |
| Expected goals | 1.84 – 1.48 |
| Both teams to score | 64.8% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 84.5% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 64.1% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 42.3% |
| TSG Hoffenheim score first | 52.2% |
| Beşiktaş score first | 43.6% |
| TSG Hoffenheim clean sheet | 23.3% |
| Beşiktaş clean sheet | 16.3% |
Sparta Praha
Lillestrøm
2.4–0.9
xG
64%
Over 2.5
AZ Alkmaar
Hapoel Be'er Sheva
2.4–0.8
xG
62%
Over 2.5
Union Saint-Gilloise
Real Sociedad
1.7–1.4
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Lech Poznań
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1.3–2.1
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Celje
Omonia Nicosia
1.4–1.3
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Salzburg
AC Milan
1.2–1.8
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Olympique Lyonnais
Crystal Palace
1.8–1.3
xG
59%
Over 2.5
Torreense
Sunderland
0.9–2.2
xG
61%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420684696 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
TSG Hoffenheim are favourites. They win 45.8% of our 100,000 simulations, against 23.5% for the draw and 30.7% for Beşiktaş. Including the draw, TSG Hoffenheim avoid defeat 69.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 10.3% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-2 (7.1%). The likeliest TSG Hoffenheim win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 64.8% of simulations. TSG Hoffenheim keep a clean sheet 23.3% of the time and Beşiktaş 16.3%.
The simulations average 3.32 goals: 1.84 for TSG Hoffenheim and 1.48 for Beşiktaş. Over 1.5 goals lands 84.5% of the time, over 2.5 goals 64.1% and over 3.5 goals 42.3%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Betfair Exchange), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
