We simulated Tulsa Roughnecks vs Oakland Roots 100,000 times. Tulsa Roughnecks won 46,736 of them (46.7%), the draw came up 26.5% of the time and Oakland Roots won 26.7%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.5%, while the likeliest Tulsa Roughnecks win is 1-0 (11%). Both teams score in 51.2% of simulations.
| Tulsa Roughnecks win | 46.7% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 26.5% |
| Oakland Roots win | 26.7% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.5%) |
| Expected goals | 1.51 – 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 51.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73.1% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47.6% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 26.2% |
| Tulsa Roughnecks score first | 55.6% |
| Oakland Roots score first | 36.1% |
| Tulsa Roughnecks clean sheet | 34.5% |
| Oakland Roots clean sheet | 22.5% |
Hartford Athletic
Charleston Battery
1.5–1.5
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Rhode Island
Loudoun United
2.0–0.9
xG
55%
Over 2.5
Miami FC II
Charleston Battery
1.5–1.6
xG
60%
Over 2.5
Louisville City
Indy Eleven
2.0–1.0
xG
57%
Over 2.5
Hartford Athletic
Brooklyn FC
2.7–0.8
xG
67%
Over 2.5
Rhode Island
Pittsburgh Riverhounds
1.5–0.7
xG
37%
Over 2.5
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City
1.5–0.9
xG
43%
Over 2.5
San Antonio
New Mexico United
1.5–1.2
xG
48%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420520348 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Tulsa Roughnecks are favourites. They win 46.7% of our 100,000 simulations, against 26.5% for the draw and 26.7% for Oakland Roots. Including the draw, Tulsa Roughnecks avoid defeat 73.3% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.5% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (11%) and 2-1 (9%). The likeliest Tulsa Roughnecks win is 1-0 (11%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 51.2% of simulations. Tulsa Roughnecks keep a clean sheet 34.5% of the time and Oakland Roots 22.5%.
The simulations average 2.58 goals: 1.51 for Tulsa Roughnecks and 1.08 for Oakland Roots. Over 1.5 goals lands 73.1% of the time, over 2.5 goals 47.6% and over 3.5 goals 26.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
