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Primera Division · 100,000 simulations

Universidad Chile vs Ñublense prediction

We simulated Universidad Chile vs Ñublense 100,000 times. Universidad Chile won 66,100 of them (66.1%), the draw came up 19.6% of the time and Ñublense won 14.3%. The most likely score is 2-0 (10.8%), and both teams score in 52.5% of simulations.

Universidad Chile badge
Universidad Chile Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos
1–0 Live
Ñublense badge
Ñublense Away
66.1% 66,100 wins
19.6% Draw
14.3% 14,303 wins
Expected goals
2.19 – 0.90
Likeliest score
2-0 10.8%
Both score
52.5%
Over 2.5
59.3%

This match has kicked off. These are the numbers from the last simulation before kick-off.

Simulated 100,000 times Updated Cristián Garay Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile
Universidad Chile vs Ñublense live score, stats & lineups

Universidad Chile vs Ñublense in numbers 100,000 simulations · Primera Division · Today, 21:00

Universidad Chile vs Ñublense simulation probabilities
Universidad Chile win66.1%
Draw19.6%
Ñublense win14.3%
Most likely score2-0 (10.8%)
Expected goals2.19 – 0.90
Both teams to score52.5%
Over 1.5 goals81.2%
Over 2.5 goals59.3%
Over 3.5 goals37.2%
Universidad Chile score first66.8%
Ñublense score first28.4%
Universidad Chile clean sheet40.8%
Ñublense clean sheet11.6%
Football simulation API

Put this simulation in your own models

Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.

GET /api/predictions/generate/420494888
  ?v=2
  &detail=standard
  &include=value,corners,cards

# 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves,
# corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown

Universidad Chile vs Ñublense prediction FAQs

Who will win Universidad Chile vs Ñublense?

Universidad Chile are favourites. They win 66.1% of our 100,000 simulations, against 19.6% for the draw and 14.3% for Ñublense. Including the draw, Universidad Chile avoid defeat 85.7% of the time.

What is the most likely score in Universidad Chile vs Ñublense?

2-0, which came up in 10.8% of simulations. Next are 1-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.6%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.

Will both teams score in Universidad Chile vs Ñublense?

Both teams score in 52.5% of simulations. Universidad Chile keep a clean sheet 40.8% of the time and Ñublense 11.6%.

How many goals will there be in Universidad Chile vs Ñublense?

The simulations average 3.09 goals: 2.19 for Universidad Chile and 0.90 for Ñublense. Over 1.5 goals lands 81.2% of the time, over 2.5 goals 59.3% and over 3.5 goals 37.2%.

How does the OddAlerts match simulator work?

Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.

How often is the simulation updated?

Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.