We simulated Vitória vs Athletico PR 100,000 times. Vitória won 42,333 of them (42.3%), the draw came up 27.2% of the time and Athletico PR won 30.5%. No single score is common: 1-1 is the likeliest at 12.8%, while the likeliest Vitória win is 2-1 (8.9%). Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations.
| Vitória win | 42.3% |
|---|---|
| Draw | 27.2% |
| Athletico PR win | 30.5% |
| Most likely score | 1-1 (12.8%) |
| Expected goals | 1.54 – 1.27 |
| Both teams to score | 57.2% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77.9% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53.2% |
|---|---|
| Over 3.5 goals | 31.2% |
| Vitória score first | 51.2% |
| Athletico PR score first | 41.2% |
| Vitória clean sheet | 28.4% |
| Athletico PR clean sheet | 21.9% |
Cruzeiro
Remo
2.5–0.9
xG
65%
Over 2.5
Mirassol
São Paulo
1.6–1.1
xG
49%
Over 2.5
Internacional
Botafogo
1.6–1.1
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Palmeiras
Bragantino
2.1–0.9
xG
56%
Over 2.5
Vasco da Gama
Corinthians
1.9–0.8
xG
51%
Over 2.5
Chapecoense
Fluminense
1.2–1.6
xG
52%
Over 2.5
Santos
Bahia
1.9–1.2
xG
58%
Over 2.5
Coritiba
Grêmio
1.6–1.1
xG
50%
Over 2.5
Every number on this page comes from one request: 1X2, scorelines, goal lines, halves, HT/FT, Asian handicaps, corners, cards and goal timing, plus the market comparison, value bets and the full expected-goals breakdown. Up to ten fixtures per call.
GET /api/predictions/generate/420493765 ?v=2 &detail=standard &include=value,corners,cards # 100,000 runs: 1X2, scores, goals, halves, # corners, cards, value bets, xG breakdown
Vitória are favourites. They win 42.3% of our 100,000 simulations, against 27.2% for the draw and 30.5% for Athletico PR. Including the draw, Vitória avoid defeat 69.5% of the time.
1-1, which came up in 12.8% of simulations. Next are 2-1 (8.9%) and 1-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Vitória win is 2-1 (8.9%). No single score is likely on its own, which is why the full spread of scorelines matters.
Both teams score in 57.2% of simulations. Vitória keep a clean sheet 28.4% of the time and Athletico PR 21.9%.
The simulations average 2.81 goals: 1.54 for Vitória and 1.27 for Athletico PR. Over 1.5 goals lands 77.9% of the time, over 2.5 goals 53.2% and over 3.5 goals 31.2%.
Our v2 engine plays the match 100,000 times. It starts from the sharpest betting market (here Pinnacle), blends in each team's recent attack and defence numbers and xG, then uses a Dixon-Coles model so low scores like 0-0 and 1-1 come up as often as they do in real football. Goal times, corners and cards are simulated minute by minute.
Every 20 minutes on matchday and every few hours before that, so it moves with team news and the betting market. The last pre-match run stays on the page after kick-off so you can compare it with the result.
