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Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely)

Afan Lido host Caerau (Ely) in the Wales Cymru Championship South on Friday 27 November 2026, kick-off 19:30. Our model makes Caerau (Ely) favourites at 61%, with a 19% chance of a draw. In their last 8 meetings, Afan Lido won 2, Caerau (Ely) won 5 and 1 was drawn.

Wales Cymru Championship South Save
Afan Lido
19:30
27 Nov
Caerau (Ely)
Marston Stadium, Port Talbot

Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) preview

Afan Lido have scored 2.29 goals a game and conceded 1.71 across their last 7 home games in the Cymru Championship South this season, while Caerau (Ely) have scored 2.17 and conceded 1.67 across their last 6 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Afan Lido's last 7 home games and 4 of Caerau (Ely)'s last 6 away games. Afan Lido's last 7 home games have averaged 7.1 corners and Caerau (Ely)'s last 6 away games 7.2. Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 09:36 UK.

  • Goals scored Afan Lido: 2.29 Caerau (Ely): 2.17
  • Goals conceded Afan Lido: 1.71 Caerau (Ely): 1.67
  • Both teams scored Afan Lido: 3 of 743% Caerau (Ely): 4 of 667%
  • Over 2.5 goals Afan Lido: 4 of 757% Caerau (Ely): 4 of 667%
  • Match corners Afan Lido: 7.14 Caerau (Ely): 7.17
  • Match cards Afan Lido: 4.00 Caerau (Ely): 3.33

Afan Lido's last 7 home games and Caerau (Ely)'s last 6 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season.

Win probabilities

20%Afan Lido 19%Draw 61%Caerau (Ely)

From the OddAlerts probability model. See every market

Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely): questions and answers

When is Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely)?

Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) kicks off at 19:30 UK time on Friday 27 November 2026 in the Cymru Championship South, at Marston Stadium, Port Talbot.

Who is the favourite in Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely)?

The OddAlerts probability model gives Afan Lido a 20% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Caerau (Ely) 61%.

How many goals do Afan Lido and Caerau (Ely) games have?

Afan Lido have scored 2.29 goals a game and conceded 1.71 across their last 7 home games in the Cymru Championship South this season, while Caerau (Ely) have scored 2.17 and conceded 1.67 across their last 6 away games. Both teams have scored in 3 of Afan Lido's last 7 home games and 4 of Caerau (Ely)'s last 6 away games.

Where are Afan Lido and Caerau (Ely) in the Cymru Championship South table?

Afan Lido are 8th with 18 points from 14 games. Caerau (Ely) are 4th with 22 points from 13 games.

Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) stats

All competitions , Pro
Afan Lido3W 3D 1L · 7 home games
Caerau (Ely)4W 0D 2L · 6 away games
Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) general stats: Afan Lido's last 7 home games and Caerau (Ely)'s last 6 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season
Afan LidoStatCaerau (Ely)
Match outcomes
3 of 743% Win 4 of 667%
3 of 743% Draw 0 of 60%
1 of 714% Loss 2 of 633%
12 Points 12
1.71 Points per game 2.00
4 Goal difference 3
Expected goals
0.00 xG per game 0.00
0.00 xGA per game 0.00
16.00 xG performance 13.00
Possession & attacks
42% Possession 41%
31.71 Dangerous attacks 28.83
32.57 Dangerous attacks against 31.33
Shots
6.43 Shots for 6.50
6.57 Shots against 5.33
3.86 On target for 3.00
3.57 On target against 3.17
36% Shot conversion 33%
60% On-target accuracy 46%
Tackles & fouls
0.00 Tackles 0.00
1.43 Fouls committed 1.50
1.71 Fouls won 1.67
0.14 Offsides 0.17

Afan Lido's last 7 home games and Caerau (Ely)'s last 6 away games in the Cymru Championship South this season. A rate such as "5 of 7" counts the games where it happened.

Stats as of 15 Nov 2026, 09:36 UK.

Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) lineups

Lineups will appear here when they're predicted and confirmed.

Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) form

Afan Lido All venues
2 W · 1 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.40
Scored per game
2.6
Conceded per game
2.4
Both teams scored
60%
Over 2.5 goals
80%
  1. Cymru Championship South H Caerphilly Athletic 3–2 win
  2. Cymru Championship South A Cardiff Draconians 0–2 defeat
  3. Cymru Championship South A Llanelli Town 3–0 win
  4. Welsh Cup H Penybont 2–3 defeat
  5. Cymru Championship South H Swansea University 5–5 draw
Caerau (Ely) All venues
3 W · 0 D · 2 L
Points per game
1.80
Scored per game
1.8
Conceded per game
1.0
Both teams scored
20%
Over 2.5 goals
40%
  1. Welsh Cup H Brickfield Rangers 1–0 win
  2. Cymru Championship South H Pontypridd Town AFC 1–3 defeat
  3. Cymru Championship South A Caerphilly Athletic 1–0 win
  4. Cymru Championship South H Llantwit Major 0–2 defeat
  5. Welsh Cup H Llanelli Town 6–0 win

Results before kick-off, most recent first, from each team's side. Open a game to see its full stats.

Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) head to head

2 Afan Lido wins 1 draws 5 Caerau (Ely) wins
4.0 goals per game 63% both teams scored 88% over 2.5 goals
  1. 27 Nov 2026Cymru Championship South Afan Lido 19:30 Caerau (Ely)
  2. 2 Oct 2026Cymru Championship South Caerau (Ely) 2–0 Afan Lido
  3. 7 Mar 2026Cymru Championship South Caerau (Ely) 4–1 Afan Lido
  4. 31 Oct 2025Cymru Championship South Afan Lido 3–2 Caerau (Ely)
  5. 22 Nov 2024Cymru Championship - North Caerau (Ely) 3–0 Afan Lido
  6. 7 Sep 2024Cymru Championship - North Afan Lido 2–2 Caerau (Ely)
  7. 1 Apr 2024Cymru Championship - North Caerau (Ely) 3–2 Afan Lido
  8. 17 Oct 2023Welsh Cup Caerau (Ely) 4–0 Afan Lido
  9. 8 Aug 2023Cymru Championship - North Afan Lido 3–1 Caerau (Ely)

Afan Lido vs Caerau (Ely) standings

Cymru Championship South table
# Team P W D L GF GA GD Pts Last 5
1 Pontypridd Town AFC 138323522 +13 27
2 Aberystwyth Town 118122810 +18 25
3 Swansea University 127323618 +18 24
4 Caerau (Ely) 137152423 +1 22
5 Treowen Stars 136252525 0 20
6 Baglan Dragons 136251414 0 20
7 Ynyshir Albions 115422013 +7 19
8 Afan Lido 145362426 -2 18
9 Trethomas Bluebirds 134542623 +3 17
10 Carmarthen Town 134362430 -6 15
11 Pontardawe Town 114252021 -1 14
12 Caerphilly Athletic 134271724 -7 14
13 Newport City 113442117 +4 13
14 Cardiff Draconians 113351419 -5 12
15 Llantwit Major 123361426 -12 12
16 Llanelli Town 1403111243 -31 3
  • Afan Lido
  • Caerau (Ely)
  • Promotion or qualification
  • Relegation

Cymru Championship South 2026/2027 standings as of 15 Nov 2026, 09:36 UK. Last 5 shows the most recent result first.

Win probabilities

20%Afan Lido 19%Draw 61%Caerau (Ely)
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From the OddAlerts probability model before kick-off.